Insights & Analysis

Estonia’s Kremlin-Linked Influence Ecosystem

Networks disrupted at home, campaigns sustained from abroad

Russia’s Sovereign Internet Under Attack

Propaganda stayed silent while Z channels turned on Yandex

A Chorus of Contradictions Across Europe

Supporting the protesters and blaming migrants at once

Washington, Moscow, and the Price of Peace

The path to peace runs through everyone but Moscow

The Diesel Deal and the Energy Ceasefire: Reactions in Russia

Triumph on air, silence about the energy ceasefire

Weaponizing the US–Russia Diesel Deal

A US fuel deal turned against Europe’s sanctions

Pro-Kremlin Networks Exploit Spain’s Snap Election

Housing, migration and Ukraine, routed into one election

“Plague in Siberia”: Another Kremlin Communications Failure

Deleted reports, quarantines and a diagnosis of pneumonia

From Amplification to Interference in German and French Protests

How RT recast accusations of Russian involvement as blame-shifting

The Kremlin Shifts More of the War’s Cost onto Russians

An Overview of Russia’s Draft 2027–2029 Budget

The Battle for Russian-Speaking Voters in Latvia’s 2026 Election

Investigations as persecution, criticism as betrayal, officials as deceivers

Latvia’s Kremlin-Linked Influence Ecosystem

How fear of war became a campaign message in Latvia

Discrediting Estonia over the Milrem Arson

Denying the sabotage while calling EU factories legitimate targets

The Kremlin at the UNGA

Staying the Course on War and “Dangerous Self-Deception”

Kaliningrad: Putin’s Citadel or Russia’s European Future?

How Kremlin militarization confronts Kaliningrad’s European aspirations

Framing Friedrich Merz’s Political Decline

How Kremlin FIMI actors use electoral setbacks to delegitimize Friedrich Merz

Targeting the West’s defense preparations

Kremlin FIMI actors recast European defense preparations as evidence of aggression against Russia

Moscow against London: the Kremlin’s anti-British campaign

How the Kremlin escalated from insults to threats of sabotage against Britain

Pro-Kremlin Campaign Ahead of Latvia’s Parliamentary Election

How a multilingual pro-Kremlin network turned Latvia’s election into a story of threat, exclusion and one electoral choice

2026 State Duma elections

How the Kremlin relies on coercion to manufacture an image of unity

Russia Acts, Others Are to Blame

How Kremlin FIMI actors reframed the Russian strike near the Polish border

Moldova's Kremlin-Linked Influence Ecosystem After the 2025 Defeat: Rebuilt to Look Domestic

Germany Wants War, Russia Wants Peace

How Kremlin FIMI actors built a narrative of renewed German militarism and war with Russia

Kremlin Narratives on the Kushner–Witkoff Trip

“We Are Not Expecting Peace, and That Is for Sure”

Vladimir Putin’s Asian Tour and His Resolve to Continue the War

How Putin’s tour exposed partners’ pressure for peace and Moscow’s resolve to continue the war

Ceuta Crisis: A New Surge in Kremlin FIMI Narratives

How Kremlin FIMI actors renewed and expanded narratives around the Ceuta crisis

Germany’s Elections as a Choice Between War and Peace

How Kremlin FIMI actors framed Germany’s regional election as a choice between war and peace

The Kremlin’s Escalation of a Hybrid War Against Europe

How the Kremlin’s hybrid confrontation with Europe is entering a new phase

Berlin's response to the Kremlin's Leipzig sabotage: first reactions in Russia

How Russian officials and pro-war channels framed Berlin’s response to the Leipzig drone sabotage

State Duma Elections: The Illusion of Stability Amid a Crisis of Public Trust in the Kremlin

Kremlin electoral management amid falling ratings and high demand for peace

False Flags and the Preemptive Justification of War in Europe

How Kremlin FIMI actors organized narratives about a possible expansion of the war into Europe

The Kremlin’s Narrative on Mobilization: Frighten, Bargain, and, if that Fails, Declare It

How the Kremlin brandishes mobilization in the resuming talks while quietly preparing for it

Kremlin Adapts Right-Wing Narratives Across Germany, France, and Italy

Exploiting Europe’s divisions to weaken support for Ukraine and NATO

China and Russia: a Master–Vassal Pact Against Common Enemies

Military partnership, energy deal, occupied territories of Ukraine and cooperation in FIMI

Russia’s Role in the Ceuta Panic: Amplifier, Not Proven Instigator

How Kremlin networks amplified the Ceuta panic

Poland’s Kremlin-Linked Influence Ecosystem

How Kremlin FIMI networks operate in Poland

Kremlin Uses Berlin CSD Attack To Fuel Anti-Migrant And Anti-Elite Sentiment

How one attack was used to make Germany’s democratic institutions look complicit and illegitimate

Migration Crisis in Ceuta, Spain: The Kremlin’s FIMI Amplification Campaign

How Kremlin-aligned FIMI networks exploit the migration crisis in Ceuta

Escalation of Rhetoric: The European Track of the Kremlin’s Domestic Propaganda

How the Kremlin popaganda escalates the narrative of an inevitable war with Europe

A New Phase of the Drone War: Strikes on Russian Marketplace Warehouses

Strikes on Wildberries exposed the systemic vulnerability of Russia’s economy and turned into a source of domestic political discontent

Constructing the Narrative of a Hostile, Failing, and Authoritarian Europe

How pro-Kremlin influence networks are trying to erode trust in Europe and present Russia as the rational alternative

Exploiting History and Promoting Anti-Ukrainian Agenda in Poland

How Kremlin-aligned networks weaponized Polish historical grievances to portray Ukraine as a threat and undermine support for Kyiv

“The Country Is Going In The Wrong Direction”: Public Opinion Dynamics In Russia Amid The Fuel Crisis

Russia’s fuel crisis turning the costs of war into everyday hardship and accelerating public distrust in the Kremlin

Undermining Western Unity Ahead Of The 2026 NATO Summit

How Kremlin-aligned networks framed the war as a confrontation with the collective West

Ceasefire as Victory: Presidential Administration narrative testing and Kremlin expert debate

How the Presidential Administration is preparing Russians to accept a Ukraine ceasefire as victory amid battlefield deadlock and Z-blogger resistance

Kremlin Propaganda Targeting Western Audiences: Ukraine And Iran

Kremlin narratives portraying Russia as a force for peace while blaming the West and Israel for escalation in Ukraine and Iran

The Belarus factor: the Kremlin's propaganda efforts to draw Lukashenko into the war

Moscow’s escalating pressure on Minsk and Lukashenko’s efforts to keep Belarus out of the war

The Kremlin At A Crossroads: Army Recruitment, Roundups Of Men, And The Risks Of A New Mobilization

Russia’s recruitment crisis is pushing the Kremlin toward covert mobilization, as raids in Penza expose growing military shortages and political risks.

Russia's Fuel Crisis: From A Gasoline To A Narrative Deficit

Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s oil infrastructure have triggered fuel shortages across dozens of regions, disrupted logistics to occupied Crimea, and exposed the failure of Kremlin propaganda.

Russian Ultra-Right Groups In Support Of The “Party Of Perpetual War”

Why Russia’s ultra-right ideologues Alexander Dugin and Konstantin Malofeev present nuclear escalation and autocracy as the only path to victory, and why even the pro-war Z-community rejects their vision

The Kremlin’s Armenia Operation: From Electoral Interference To Managed Instability

How Pashinyan’s election victory pushed Moscow from backing pro-Russian forces to undermining Armenia’s vote

The Kremlin’s 2026 Election Campaign In Armenia

How the Kremlin combined AI deepfakes, Church networks, diaspora mobilisation, and economic blackmail

"Ukraine As Armenia's Possible Future": The Kremlin Against The European Summits In Yerevan

How the Kremlin used the Armenia–EU summit to frame European integration as a Ukraine-style path to war, lost sovereignty, and Western control

“NATO’s Fracture and A New Military Bloc Rising”: The Kremlin’s European Narratives

How Kremlin propaganda turns NATO tensions and European rearmament into proof that the West is preparing a wider war with Russia

Victory Day 2026 Amid Mounting Kremlin Failure

How Ukraine’s drone strikes and rising war fatigue turned Victory Day 2026 into a display of Kremlin weakness rather than triumph

Russia's Escalation Course in Europe: Official Rhetoric, Propaganda, and Provocations

How Russia’s security bloc combines anti-NATO rhetoric with Baltic provocations to manufacture a pretext for escalation beyond Ukraine

Pressure From Within: Public Anger as a Weapon in Russia's Ongoing Elite Conflict

How the Presidential Administration used loyal influencers and falling Putin ratings to challenge the FSB, and influence Russia’s choice between escalation and face-saving peace

The Kremlin’s 2026 Election Campaign in Hungary

How Moscow embedded its campaign inside Orbán’s media machine

Destabilisation as the primary goal of the Kremlin's campaign in Armenia's 2026 elections

How the Kremlin made destabilisation the central strategy for restoring Russian influence and blocking Armenia’s turn toward the West

Voice & Exit: Russian society's responses to the Kremlin's new wave of digital censorship

How Russia’s Telegram crackdown turned digital censorship into a shared grievance, driving users toward VPNs, alternative messengers, and protest

Mobilization: Infrastructure Readiness and the Kremlin’s Political Vulnerability

Why Moscow is avoiding a new draft before elections while quietly preparing for one afterward

Kremlin's Hardline vs. Rising Peace Demand and Z-disillusionment

Record peace demand and Z-frustration expose the Kremlin’s isolation from both society and battlefield reality

Kremlin Reaction to the U.S.–Israel War Against Iran

The Iran war pushes Moscow closer to Beijing while it avoids confronting Trump and exploits Ukraine parallels

Kremlin Malign Information Influence in Latin America

Networks, Narratives, and Strategic Objectives

The Price Shock of Early 2026: Rising Discontent and Propaganda Response

Rising prices fuel public anger as Kremlin propaganda downplays inflation and blames liberal economic policy

Impoverished Kremlin between China and the United States

Moscow courts Washington for sanctions relief while preserving maximalist war aims and deepening dependence on China

Kremlin Blocks Telegram: In-Depth Strategic Analysis

The Kremlin’s Information Control Strategy, Internal Contradictions, and the Durov Factor

Telegram Under Pressure: Kremlin's Information Control Strategy and Internal Contradictions

Z-Anger at the Kremlin: Pro-War Community Turns on the Regime

Battlefield lies, Starlink dependence, and security failures turn Russia’s pro-war base against the regime

Kremlin's Soft Power Offensive: New Strategy for Diaspora and Foreign Influence

Battlefield lies, Starlink dependence, and security failures turn Russia’s pro-war base against the regime

UNITED RUSSIA 2026: Coercion Replacing Consent

How collapsing support forces United Russia to replace electoral consent with surveillance, coercion, and visible fraud

TV Series and Films: Effective Kremlin's Propaganda Tool

How the Kremlin has turned films and TV series into an instrument of propaganda, embedding state narratives into high-quality entertainment formats for mass audiences

Russia 2026: Social Fault Lines and Regime Vulnerabilities

War fatigue, inflation, failing services, and digital resistance converge into a widening legitimacy crisis

Kremlin Exploitation: Weaponizing Negotiation Rhetoric Without Policy Change

Moscow uses peace rhetoric to seek concessions, divide the West, and continue the war unchanged

Kremlin's Dual Strategy: Pre-Davos Peace Rhetoric & Division Tactics

Moscow pairs peace rhetoric with threats, exploiting US–EU divisions to weaken NATO and isolate Ukraine

The Kremlin’s Path Toward “Internet Sovereignty”: Shifts in Strategy

How the Kremlin is restructuring Russia’s digital space through shutdowns, allow-lists, and escalating pressure

Inside Russia’s Digital Iron Curtain: The Rise of the Max Messenger

The Kremlin’s flagship project to bring the country’s entire digital space under centralized control

Protest dynamics in Russia. Local triggers — systemic processes

From street musicians to municipal reform — how repression fuels civic resistance

Russia’s Gasoline Crisis

Key Military and Domestic Vulnerability for the Kremlin

Russia 2025: From Religious Procession to Fascist Congress

Contradictory Kremlin Narratives, Influence Operations, and Flashpoints

Kremlin’s Game of Thrones: Moldova’s 2025 Elections as Europe’s Hybrid War Battleground

A rehearsal of the new hybrid playbook Moscow intends to export to the rest of Europe

Economic Vulnerabilities 2025: A Pressure Point for the Kremlin

War spending and sanctions expose Russia’s fragile economy — deficits mount, prices soar, unrest grows

Russia, Azerbaijan, and the South Caucasus. Kremlin Campaigns

Kremlin escalates in South Caucasus with propaganda, diaspora pressure, hybrid strikes, and double games

The Kremlin on the Warpath

Systemic militarization reshapes Russia, normalizing conflict with Europe well beyond the Ukraine war

Kremlin FIMI campaigns in Europe: Spain

Putin’s new narratives, disinformation ecosystem, and tourism after the “victory” approach

Putin’s Tactical “Victory” and the New Test for Western Resolve

First results of the Victory Day parade in the Kremlin, peace negotiations, and whether the West will waver

Building a fake reality

IT enthusiasts from Crimea fuel Kremlin propaganda in global AI